Showing posts with label analysts. Show all posts
Showing posts with label analysts. Show all posts

June 01, 2007

Why don't the monkeys who are paid to understand basic economics understand basic economics?

Why do housing "analysts" and the Fed continue to be "shocked" and "surprised" by the length, severity and breadth of the housing crash?


Are they truly that dumb?

I also love when I read in the MSM that "nobody" anticipated this decline. Uh, ever read HP or any of the other bubble blogs? Or read The Economist?

I understand when realtors, mortgage brokers, homedebtors and shoe shine guys don't understand this stuff. Especially considering the pathetic state of the American education system and dumbing down of the MSM. But come on, you're telling me The Federal Reserve doesn't get it? IF that's true, that's pretty scary.
Maybe we should send a copy of Manias, Panics and Crashes to all of 'em. You'd figure in economics class (assuming to become an "analyst" you have to go to college) they'd cover this stuff.

After the biggest bubble and financial mania in the history of humanity, you'd think they'd understand that it's a long, long way back down.

Fed sees housing correction dragging on

The correction in the US housing market will “probably persist longer than previously anticipated”,
Federal Reserve policymakers judged at their last meeting, according to minutes released on Wednesday.

The minutes show that Fed officials meeting on May 9 were concerned by the decline in new home sales and the rise in the inventory of unsold homes relative to the rate of turnover.

Most of the members of the Federal Open Market Committee felt that weak residential investment would “continue to weigh heavily on economic activity through most of this year” – longer than expected.

April 12, 2007

IMF: Subprime decline more rapid than expected. HP: Brace for Alt-A crash landing

OK, everyone, BRACE! Assume the crash position. Put your head between to your knees... The Alt-A meltdown is gonna surprise some folks, and may end up being a bigger story (and impact) than the Subprime Disaster.


You ready? We're coming in for a landing!

IMF warns subprime woes may spread, dollar falls

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Fallout in the U.S. subprime mortgage market could spread to related markets, the International Monetary Fund warned on Tuesday, as nagging worries about housing helped weaken the dollar.

The company's shares fell on investor concern that problems in subprime mortgages may be spreading to higher-quality housing loans, a view the IMF also gave credence to.

The IMF said in its semi-annual Global Financial Stability Report that a decline in the subprime market was more rapid than expected at this point in the overall housing downturn.

Looser underwriting standards may have gone beyond the subprime sector into portions of "Alt-A" mortgages, the next-riskiest area, the IMF said. In addition, there could be losses in other consumer credit markets, including credit card and subprime auto loan asset-backed securities, it said.

"Financial supervisors need to identify the potential for spillovers from the cooling of the housing market and continue ensuring that mortgage underwriting standards are maintained," the IMF said.