July 06, 2006

In the end, it wasn't the housing bubble. It was the debt bubble. And it's a-poppin'


Houses were just the recipient, and the best way to get boatloads of money on margin. But then there's all the other consumer debt - cars, furniture, trips, clothes, hookers, you name it, they charged it.

Now as interest rates go up and up, people's payments will go more and more to just meeting the interest burden. And they can't use the housing ATM to pay for it anymore. As a matter of fact, that housing equity they tapped is no longer there, so they owe that back too. Hello bankruptcy.

Folks, we've built a gigantic house of cards that is going to make a really loud noise as it collapses. Duck and cover. Duck and cover. And a very timely passing of that bankruptcy law (lobby big wet kiss) eh? Thanks MM for the link...

Many struggling with debt - Rising gas prices, interest rates make it harder to keep up on bills

Rising interest rates and higher gasoline prices are putting the squeeze on consumers' budgets, and many are finding it harder to keep up with their bills.

Credit counseling agencies say that consumers are coming in droves seeking help."My phones are going crazy," said Howard Dvorkin, president of the non-profit Consolidated Credit Counseling Services Inc. in Fort Lauderdale, Fla. "Consumers are carrying an exorbitant amount of debt, and they don't have any savings to fall back on if things don't go right."

The Federal Reserve's decision last week to raise short-term interest rates for the 17th consecutive time will boost yet again borrowing costs for consumers, likely prompting more delinquencies on credit card bills as well as on auto loans and mortgages.

"People refinanced (their mortgages) six months or a year ago, so the 'house bank' is empty," Williams said. "Most can't go back and tap their home equity again.

17 comments:

Anonymous said...

This overall situation is way worse that the folks had it in 1929-1933.

A large chunk of the middle class is going to be broken and converted into an indentured servent class.

No retirement for slaves. They get to work til they drop.

Anonymous said...

"A large chunk of the middle class is going to be broken and converted into an indentured servent class."

Nah, the voters will get Congress to bail them out by 1) inflation, and 2) confiscation from the "rich".

In '08 the Dems will take Congress and the White house and their policies will make W's "authoritarian" administration look like a Baptist picnic. I wouldn't be surprised to see taxes assesed on 401Ks and private pension funds to help the "less fortunate in these times of crisis".

Of course the smart money has already moved assets out of Uncle Sam's reach, so when he comes a callin' for yours, just bend over and take the golden shaft, sans Vaseline.

Anonymous said...

Resolution Trust Part II??

For anyone here who can remember the Savings and Loan meltdown of the early 1980's, the government set up the "Resolution Trust" to bail the S&L industry out. . .bad loans, crooked management, etc. caused the problem. What new government program will we get this time to bail out Hummer owners who bought with HELOCS?? Although people SHOULD take responsbiliity for their actions, and be foreced to sell their cars, house, and granite counter tops, the government probably will come up with some low cost loans. . .probably 1% refinance loans for 50 years! Sad really

Anonymous said...

This seems like a good time to revisit the classic SNL skit, "Don't Buy Stuff You Cannot Afford":

========================

[open on couple trying to balance their checkbook ]

Wife: (sighs) I just can't get these numbers to add up.

Husband: Like we're never going to get out of this hole.

Wife: Credit card debt, does it ever end?

CP: [walks in] Maybe I can help.

Husband: We sure could use it.

Wife: We've tried debt consolidation companies.

Husband: We've even taken out loans to help make payments.

CP: Well, you're not the only ones. Did you know that millions of Americans live with debt they cannot control? That's why I developed this unique new program for managing your debt. It's called [presents book] "Don't Buy Stuff You Cannot Afford."

Wife: Let me see that... [grabs book, reads] "If you don't have any money, you should not buy anything." Hmm, sounds interesting

Husband: Sounds confusing.

Wife: I don't know honey, this makes a lot of sense. There's a whole section here on how to buy expensive things using money you save.

Husband: Give me that... [grabs book, looks at it] And where would you get this saved money?

CP: I tell you where and how in Chapter 3.

Wife: Ok, so what if I want something but I dont' have any money CP: You don't buy it.

Husband: Well let's say I don't have enough money to buy something. Should I buy it anyways?

CP: No-o-o-o.

Husband: Now I'm really confused!

CP: It's a little confusing at first.

Wife: Well what if you have the money, can you buy something?

CP: Yes.

Wife: Now take the money away. Same story?

CP: Nope. You shouldn't buy stuff when you don't have the money.

Husband: I think I got it. I buy something I want, and then hope that I can pay for it right?

CP: No. You make sure you have money, then you buy it.

Husband: Oh, THEN you buy it. But shouldn't you buy it before you have the money?

CP: No-o-o-o.

Wife: Why not?

CP: It's in the book. It's only one page long. The advice is priceless and the book is free.

Wife: Well, I like the sound of that.

Husband: Yeah, we can put it on our credit card.

CP: [shakes head]

Announcer: So get out of debt now, write for your free copy of "Don't Buy Stuff You Cannot Afford." If you buy now you'll also receive, "Seriously, If You Don't Have the Money, Don't Buy It!" Along with a 12-month subscription to "Stop Buying Stuff Magazine." So order today!

Anonymous said...

We are going to be able to buy slightly used toys really cheap really soon. Love it.

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