July 12, 2006

US Congressman Ron Paul on the Fed

For years officials at the Federal Reserve Bank, including Chairman Bernanke himself, have assured us that inflation is under control and not a problem-- even as the price of housing, energy, medical care, school tuition, gold, and other commodities skyrockets.

The Treasury department parrots the Fed line that consumer prices, as measured by the consumer price index (CPI), are under control. But even many mainstream economists now admit that CPI grossly understates true inflation. The most glaring problem is that CPI excludes housing prices, instead tracking rents. Everyone knows the cost of purchasing a home has increased dramatically in the last ten years; in many regions housing prices have more than doubled in just five years. So price inflation certainly is alive and well when to comes to the largest purchase most Americans make.

When the Federal Reserve increases the supply of dollars in circulation, both paper and electronic, prices must rise eventually. What other result it possible? The supply of dollars has risen much faster than the supply of goods and services being chased by those dollars. Fed policy makers have more than doubled the money supply in less than ten years. While Treasury printing presses can print unlimited dollars, there are natural limits to economic growth. This flood of newly minted US currency can only increase consumer prices in the long term.

Mr. Bernanke has stated quite candidly that he will use government printing presses to stimulate the economy as necessary. He is famous for joking that he would endorse dropping money from helicopters if needed to prevent an economic slowdown. This is nothing short of an express policy to destroy our money by inflation. Every new dollar erodes the value of existing dollars based on simple supply and demand. Does anyone really believe the Treasury can make us rich simply by printing more money?

The coming dollar crisis is not likely to be “fixed” by politicians who are unwilling to make hard choices, admit mistakes, and spend less money. Demographic trends will place even greater demands on Congress to maintain benefits for millions of older Americans who are dependent on the federal government.

Faced with uncomfortable financial realities, Congress will seek to avoid the day of reckoning by the most expedient means available-- and the Federal Reserve undoubtedly will accommodate Washington by printing more dollars to pay the bills. The Fed is the enabler for the spending addicts in Congress, who would rather spend new fiat money than face the political consequences of raising taxes or borrowing more abroad.

The irony is that many of the Fed’s biggest cheerleaders are the same supposed capitalists who denounced centralized economic planning when practiced by the former Soviet Union. Large banks and Wall Street firms love the Fed’s easy money policy, because they profit at the front end from the resulting loan boom and artificially high equity prices. It’s the little guy who loses when the inflated dollars finally trickle down to him and erode his buying power. Someday Americans will understand that Federal Reserve bankers have no magic ability-- and certainly no legal or moral right-- to decide how much money should exist and what the cost of borrowing money should be.

17 comments:

Anonymous said...

Ya, Keith, you da man. Keep writing this great housing blog stuff. Oh, and you're smart too, did I leave that part out? And witty, and charming, and kind to small animals...

Anonymous said...

Again, the fiat moneyist have no clue.

Uh, yes the Fed and banks do have ability to create money by pressing a button.

That's a good thing. The "value of a dollar" is not something which needs to be protected like his daughter's virginity, compared to ensuring the health long term of the economy.

Yes, your dollars will inflate by 3% per year. Get used to it, it is better than the alternative.

In the 19th century, contrary to popular mythology, individual banks literally created (and printed) their own money despite a supposed gold standard, but in a far more chaotic and less useful and productive fashion. The gold standard created lots of panics (what depressions were called before) and bad contractions of credit which really hurt many people's actual lives.

Sure the Fed could create one trillion google dollars if it pressed the wrong button, but it won't.

If Congressman Paul is bothered by "losing his value of the money" he can deposit his money at www.treasurydirect.gov and buy t-bills, automatically rolled over at zero cost.

90 day t-bills are modern money, not the bits of paper in your wallet.

Over the long run this will keep up with inflation.

Voila---the sacred "value of the dollar" has been preserved.

Anonymous said...

Somebody please give congressman Ron Paul a medal.

Finally a politician with sense.

BTW, what's the deal with Barney Frank/ D MASS pushing for the banks to be allowed to continue strangling the masses with toxic loans?

Anonymous said...

Keith's sober posts are smarter than his drunk posts.

Anonymous said...

"I do believe there is a crisis," said Peter Lansing, president of Universal Lending, who served on a foreclosure task force during the late 1980s. "We do need to do something about it. It is all of our responsibility

http://www.rockymountainnews.com/drmn/real_estate/article/0,1299,DRMN_414_4835191,00.html

Anonymous said...

Perhaps the supply of dollars should be tied to known quantities.

Like population, economic production, etc.

Anonymous said...

Paintblot,

It seems like you've done you homework badly. Gold is still international currency and precious metal with wide industrial application (electronics). At least it worth something, but US bonds worth nothing, since US Government is a bunkrupt. The king is naked (sure, he's armed yet), and it's just a matter of time that international trade will switch from USD to COMMODITY-BACKED CURRENCY UNIT.

Mark my words pal, USD collapse (and reset) is coming. Gold is just one of many investment choices in crisis times. The other ones are guns, land, reliable water supply and farming.

Anonymous said...

gold goes up if the dollar goes down - so the "bubble" is the crash of the dollar, combined with fear of all other assets

comprendo?

Anonymous said...

The next bubble that bursts will be in Higher Education. Tuition rates have been rising 6% per year and courses being dumbed down so as to appease the brilliant client base that evaluates teachers after each course.

We are now seeing "accelerated degree programs" and "executive MBA's".

People graduating with student loan debt of $100k and only have a BA in Liberal Arts to show for it. How many of these graduates find themselves selling RE or Stocks or waiting tables or tending bar next to someone who never went to college? THAT is a survey I would like to see.

Colleges justify this with "surveys" that indicate a person with a college degree makes $1 million more than a person without a degree. Uh huh. Guess who creates these surveys? Colleges and Universities!

Inflated cost for a product that is depreciating in value.

I am talking about a bubble so I have not deviated too much from the topic.

Anonymous said...

In the 19th century, contrary to popular mythology, individual banks literally created (and printed) their own money despite a supposed gold standard, but in a far more chaotic and less useful and productive fashion. The gold standard created lots of panics (what depressions were called before) and bad contractions of credit which really hurt many people's actual lives.
___________________________________

THis is an incredibly stupid post. You go on to attempt to defend fiat money, then in the very act you state that independent banks created credit (fractional reserve banking, but was supposed to be redeemable in gold) that they couldn't make good on, so then the credit collapse (fiat worth shit) wiped people out. Then you blame gold. No moron, it was the credit that intrinsically had no value. What if we were on a house-standard instead of a gold standard (like we are), but then they contract the credit and you can't find another fool to buy a house you paid to much money for. Would the house standard be the problem, or again, would it be the excessive issuing if credit. The problem was the credit dummy, not the gold. The credit was supposed to represent something of actual value (gold) but in reality it represented only a fraction of the value due to fractional reserve banking. I'm sorry to hear that you're uncomfortable with the fact that people like to buy tangibles with their money and not only that, have their money hold it's value. That's why gold and silver are money and fiat is currency ... dumb-ass.

Anonymous said...

All of the world central banks are now printing together. Its a race to see who can print the most.

http://www.latimes.com/news/opinion/commentary/la-op-rogers9jul09,0,7587673.story?coll=la-news-comment-opinions

This is not going to end good

Anonymous said...

If Congressman Paul is bothered by "losing his value of the money" he can deposit his money at www.treasurydirect.gov and buy t-bills, automatically rolled over at zero cost.

90 day t-bills are modern money, not the bits of paper in your wallet.

Over the long run this will keep up with inflation.

Voila---the sacred "value of the dollar" has been preserved.
__________________________________

THis is incredibly stupid too. The interest you make on a treasury is still below the real rate of inflation. Real inflation is more like 7%-8% at least. Looks like you'd be losing 3%/yr. Google CPI and hedonistic adjustments.

Anonymous said...

The correct term is hedonic. Hedonistic measurements are likely outside the realm of economics ;-)

Anonymous said...

Excellent post!! Glad to see someone educating people about the real truth. The Federal Reserve doesn't stablize the economy....it manipulates it with catostrophic results that aren't immediately understood. There is a pretty good history now....wonder when the rest of the country is going to get it.

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