April 04, 2006

tick.. tick.. tick.. BAM! Some homeowners struggle to keep up with adjustable rates


USA Today report on the ongoing ARM disaster.

Thank you Alan Greenspan for recommending two years ago that everyone get out of the safety of 30 year loans and get into ARMs. Thank you George Bush for recommending everyone buy a house (regardless of price or ability to make the payments). Thank you Congress for passing the bankruptcy reform (banker wet kiss) right before the tidal wave hits. Thank you NAR for pumping past the peak.

Your countrymen followed your (bad) advice. Mixed it with their own ignorance and greed. And now we have an economic disaster on our hands, unfolding nationwide, spreading like a cancer, destroying lives.

Folks, you thought the S&L scandal was bad. This ARM scandal, combined with the Housing Bubble will cause economic devastation for a generation.

For 45 years, Robert and Lorraine Brown have lived in their ranch-style home in Florissant, Mo. One of their four children was even born there. But for the past eight months, the couple have been locked in a sleep-wrecking race to keep up with their rising mortgage bills. They've switched to cheaper phone service, cut back on groceries and sometimes put off ordering medicine.

When they refinanced their home two years ago to pay off some bills, Robert, now 78, was working as a deliveryman. But his employer went out of business last April. Now he and Lorraine, 72, a retired nurse, are both seeking work. The rate on their mortgage has jumped from 7% to 10.5%.

"We were having a hard time meeting bills at the time we refinanced. It seems once you get behind, you do desperate things to catch up, and you never do," says Lorraine, trying to hold back tears. "At the time of the loan, they tell you, 'Well, it may go up, but it's probably going to go down.' You want it to be so, so you believe it."

They feel alone, but they're not. America's five-year real estate boom was fueled partly by a tempting array of cut-rate mortgages that helped millions of Americans qualify for home or refinance loans. To afford soaring home prices, many turned to adjustable-rate and other, riskier loans with low initial payments. The homeownership rate hit a record 70%.

Now, the real estate market is cooling, interest rates are rising and tens of thousands more Americans are starting to have trouble paying their mortgages. Nearly 25% of mortgages — 10 million — carry adjustable interest rates. And most of them went to people with subpar credit ratings who accepted higher interest rates, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.

"Within the last year, I would say 60% to 70% of calls to our hotlines are issues related to ARM (adjustable-rate mortgage) loans," says Chris Krehmeyer, executive director of Beyond Housing, a non-profit group that offers homeownership support services in St. Louis. "That's significantly higher than in years past, because the ARMs are coming home to roost."

Last week, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the 15th time since June 2004 and signaled that at least one more increase is likely. That trend is ominous for borrowers who were seduced by adjustable-rate loans that offered interest-only payment options or teaser rates below 2% or that let the borrower pay less than the interest owed. They will face bigger payment shock once their loans reset to higher rates.

34 comments:

Out at the peak said...

And the naysayers say only some of the people who bought in 2005 were in trouble. When multidecade homeowners are also in peril, you cannot generalize a group of borrowers who are safe.

Anonymous said...

All day I drive from one end of Metro Phx to the other.It dawned on me just the other day how behaviour in traffic has changed in just the last few months. Just yesterday , a motorist exiting the freeway came flying up the ramp in a very nice Audi and cut this guy off in a Lexus. The two flipped each other the bird . Everyone came to a stop at the light and I heard the individual in the Audi screaming on his cell phone. The individual in the Lexus was not done with this issue. Flipped the bird again. Mr Audi and Mr Lexus got out of the car and started fighting right there. Lots of f bombs. It was only 88 in the valley yesterday. What happens when they turn up the pressure cooker this summer?
I wonder if they got ARM I/O ??
Everyone have a good day !

The Thinker said...

Come on, nobody bought a house because George Bush told them to...

Anonymous said...

you are beyond stupid...

"Thank you Alan Greenspan for recommending two years ago that everyone get out of the safety of 30 year loans"

He never said that, never. You know it.

Anonymous said...

Anonymous STFU he did say it, maybe not in the exact context writen but he did say ARMS were an attractive option to save a homeowner money.

Probelm is you all cant face reality this is the hole republican agenda, to put us all in the street. And it is happening right before our eyes. Our president has the lowest numbers since, johnson, and nixon, yet we all go about our own way like everything is grand..well its not. And this fool has his finger on the button for iran..and when he starts dropping bombs, your house, is not going to be worth shit.


One has to be thankfull for the recent housing boom it kept us all busy while the corporate republicans raped iraq and our national treasury of billions of dollars,yet no one cares as long as they get that 30 year fixed rate.. wake the fuck up fools

blogger said...

again, I'm amazed at the stupidity of some HP readers. It's like you have to hold their hand on some basic things. Usually the anon ones.

Here's Greenspan's verbatim testimony on the ARMs issue:

"One way homeowners attempt to manage their payment risk is to use fixed-rate mortgages, which typically allow homeowners to prepay their debt when interest rates fall but do not involve an increase in payments when interest rates rise. Homeowners pay a lot of money for the right to refinance and for the insurance against increasing mortgage payments. Calculations by market analysts of the "option adjusted spread" on mortgages suggest that the cost of these benefits conferred by fixed-rate mortgages can range from 0.5 percent to 1.2 percent, raising homeowners' annual after-tax mortgage payments by several thousand dollars. Indeed, recent research within the Federal Reserve suggests that many homeowners might have saved tens of thousands of dollars had they held adjustable-rate mortgages rather than fixed-rate mortgages during the past decade, though this would not have been the case, of course, had interest rates trended sharply upward.

American homeowners clearly like the certainty of fixed mortgage payments. This preference is in striking contrast to the situation in some other countries, where adjustable-rate mortgages are far more common and where efforts to introduce American-type fixed-rate mortgages generally have not been successful. Fixed-rate mortgages seem unduly expensive to households in other countries. One possible reason is that these mortgages effectively charge homeowners high fees for protection against rising interest rates and for the right to refinance.

American consumers might benefit if lenders provided greater mortgage product alternatives to the traditional fixed-rate mortgage. To the degree that households are driven by fears of payment shocks but are willing to manage their own interest rate risks, the traditional fixed-rate mortgage may be an expensive method of financing a home"

Anonymous said...

I'm no Bush fan, but he did not encourage people to use ARMs or buy beyond their means or buy overpriced houses. Home ownership is a good thing when you buy reasonably priced homes taht you can afford. The houses along the South and Midwest are still very affordable. The RE market will implode on both coasts and the North.

Why don't you start blaming the people who made the bad choices instead of slinging mud everywhere like a nut?

Anonymous said...

You are taking Greenspan's quote out of context. He said that years ago when rates were high and likely to come down. When you buy using an ARM and rates are at 1%, then there is nowhere to go but up. If these people can't think for themselves, is it Grennspan's fault?

BTW - How many people do you think got an ARM because of what Greenspan said years ago? Most of the idiots who bought with an ARM these past few years probably don't even know who he is or what he does.

The Thinker said...

What Greenspan said is exactly right. A fixed rate mortgage is like getting a mortgage and then paying extra for insurance to guarantee that the payments will stay the same over the course of the mortgage. For some, this guarantee that monthly payments remain the same is absolutely essential as it may prevent the home owner from some day not being able to afford monthly payments. On the other hand, for the wealthy and sophisticated home buyer who will never find himself unable to make the monthly payments regardless of the current interest rates, the ARM may be a good choice.

Anonymous said...

To booyah,
that is right: Most of the idiots who bought with an ARM these past few years probably don't even know who he is or what he does.
mostof bubbleheadsdont have a clue what they are doing.

Anonymous said...

Bushco and the Repukes raped the treasury for much more than billions. The number is in the many trillions.

Anonymous said...

Why do a couple of 80 year-olds have so much debt that they have to take out a home equity loan? Sorry, but people have to start taking responsibility for their own actions. Just because some people make stupid decisions does not mean we should throw the whole system out and turn into some sort of socialist nanny state. Perhaps that couple needs to sell their ranch and move into a small aprartment or condo. I've made bad decisions in my life and I just swallow the bad medicine and life goes on. All those people who bought a $500K house with a no-down ARM will lose it. Big deal. They never deserved to live there anyway. The only tragedy is that we taxpayers will have to come in and clean up some of this mess. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac should have never existed and will likely go bankrupt after this fiasco. That is a good thing.

We were never meant to own 3 houses and 5 huge gas guzzling cars. We were never meant to have a slave labor class of brown people to raise our children and mow our lawns and wipe our noses. It's time to give it up and live more like the rest of the world. Well, maybe a little better.

Anonymous said...

I am going to roll a big fat joint, sit back, grab something to eat, then grab something to eat again, kiss my kids, kiss my wife, and wait for the nearest missle, bomb, or what ever to land on my local bank. Then i am going to run out there and help my fellow americans who are not injured out the front door of the bank, then i am going to loot the fuck out of it. Nuff said!

Anonymous said...

jeudi and the democraps raped children for the fun of it

Anonymous said...

What is wrong with these people??? They have been in the house 45 years and they have a mortgage! I don't get it. I really have a hard time feeling sorry for these people. Its just greed and stupidity. There is no reason why they should have a mortgage. They should have had the house paid off at least 15 years ago and been sitting pretty with no house payment at all.

-chris

Out at the peak said...

Chris: You are completely right. These owners should have managed their money so that they paid off their house long ago.

When my parents refinanced to get a lower rate, they got a 15 yr loan since they had been in their house 13-14 years already.

Osman said...

Keith,
even in your direct quote I'm having trouble seeing where Greenspan said everyone should get out of the safety of 30 year loans.

He seems to have said that *if* you're willing to manage your own interest rate risks, adjustable rate products *could* save you money. With the spread between ARMS and FRMS narrowed, this seems less true today but very true even a year ago.

Anonymous said...

http://www.financialsense.com/
editorials/benson/2006/0403.html

great read

blogger said...

again, the stupidity and laziness of some HP readers...

Booyah said:

"You are taking Greenspan's quote out of context. He said that years ago when rates were high and likely to come down."

Greenspan made those remarks 25 months ago, in February 2004, when the fed funds rate stood at a record low 1.0%, right before Greenspan started in June 2004 raising every meeting, for 15 straight times.

Booyah - you are exactly wrong and now look the fool. That's tough to do - congrats.

So... greenspan knew he was about to go on a rate march upward - and he chooses that time in history to encourage people to dump 30 year fixed for ARMS. The EXACT wrong time to do that.

Why? Ask yourselves, HP readers, WHY!?

A: Because he knew it was the only way to keep the party going, the housing ATM ringing, and the housing bubble inflating.

So that his feeble psyche would enjoy being the master of the party, beloved on his way to retirement.

And now Ben has to clean up the corruption and the mess.

Anonymous said...

Here is the direct Greenspan quote from USA Today:

"He said a Fed study suggested many homeowners could have saved tens of thousands of dollars in the last decade if they had ARMs. Those savings would not have been realized, however, had interest rates shot up. "

Where in that quote did he suggest that all homebuyers go get an ARM? In fact, he says that those savings would not be there if rates shot up. Anyone with a brain would know that rates could not go down when they were at 1%. Besides, how many homebuyers took Greenspan's speech into account when applying for a mortgage?

Also, you still did not prove that Bush told people to get ARMs and buy overpriced houses that they could not afford. Do you have a quote on that one? Your exaggeration and lies only undermine you and your fellow bootlicking worshippers.

Try sticking to the facts. You seem an even bigger idiot when spreading misinformation.

Anonymous said...

>> Old people who have paid of their houses are now paying more than double the taxes as last year. They are being forced out of their homes, they cannot afford the increase in taxes.

I'll say it again: AS LONG AS THERE ARE PROPERTY TAXES, YOU WILL *NEVER* OWN THE PROPERTY THAT IS BEING TAXED! WAKE UP PEOPLE!!!

Anonymous said...

What's so evil about home ownership? The neighborhoods are cleaner and safer than most apartments. Renters generally don't care, so they throw trash around and let the place run down. Contrary to popular opinion, nobody told these people to buy houses they could not afford. The fact is, if you want ot live in a free society, then you need to educate yourself. The power of the internet is at the tip of your fingers at home, work and libraries. Who would make such a huge life-changing purchase without consulting their friends, family or co-workers? If you don't want to think, then move to Cuba or North Korea where they will make the decisions for you.

Anonymous said...

Oh Gawd, If you dont want to pay your taxes, then don't. You sound like this guy:

US man in bulldozer rampage


Bulldozer man was just a patriot though. LOL !!


We must keep a corrupt and tyrannical government at bay, and every patriot such as Marvin Heemeyer who dies for principal, rather than for gain, or because he was told to, is a true HERO! WE ARE NOT FREE IF WE ARE FORCED TO LIVE UNDER UNJUST LAWS! If we break them, we get penalized, but when dealing with a government that daily ignores each and every article in The Bill of Rights, we are to turn our heads.




Don't pay your taxes if you dont want to. Instead armour your bulldozer and show the world what kind of man you really are.

Anonymous said...

Bu$hCo, Inc. and the New American Order. You're either with us or you're against us. FTW and nuke em' all. You gotta love this friggin' country.... man we're awesome!!

Anonymous said...

Anyone who uses the term repuke is a hate-monger brainless left-wing nutjob who loves the Taliban and thinks the Iran Ayatollahs are better than America. It was the idiots like Michael Mooron and Jeneane The Buffalo who opposed toppling the Taliban

blogger said...

booyah - when you find yourself in a hole, quit digging

greenspan encouraged people to go to arms when he was about to start a march of 15 straight interest rate increases.

learn it. live it. love it. explain it.

Anonymous said...

"Anonymous STFU he did say it, maybe not in the exact context writen but he did say ARMS were an attractive option to save a homeowner money."

Another loser, non-money making, lazy, bitter Democrat. Taste it sucker. Sorry we cant ALL get first place medals, or a medal for showing up.

Anonymous said...

Keith,
He did not say "do it", I am right, you are wrong. There is nothing wrong with what Alan said, I actually agree with him. ARMs do make sense for many people, but not for everyone. People can make their own choices. You Democrats (and you are...enough of this independent crap), love to blame someone besides yourselves.

blogger said...

taking out an arm in february 2004 was the single stupidest thing you could ever do.

I also support arms, and I support home ownership. but timing is everything. doing either at the wrong time is financially reckless.

and americans are paying the price now.

pop.

Anonymous said...

I'd like to know if sean blamed clinton for the dotcom bubble and bust or was that also Bush's fault? It seems like the Kool-Aid only flows one way with some people

Anonymous said...

typical liberals - always blaming someone else for their own stupid actions.

if you don't do your due diligence when plopping down $500k to buy a house, then too bad.

it's not bush's fault. it's not greenspan's fault. it's not the real estate agent's fault. it's not the bank's fault.

i bet if these jackals were turned down for a loan, they'd blame bush for making the loans to restrictive and discriminating against minorities.

Anonymous said...

Poor victims; the evil men made them sign a contract at gunpoint!

The sob stories have just started, and I'm already tired of them!

These are the same people who made us feel like the scum of the earth for renting an apartment with a baby. Years of, "You're throwing your money away." and "What about your son's future."

Who's throwing their money away now?

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