October 02, 2006

Peter Schiff attacks the corrupt David Lereah - let the tar and feathering begin


Nice to see somebody, anybody, attacking the corrupt David Lereah besides the bubble bloggers. We'll know we're making progress when your standard-issue MSM (think Kalamazoo Gazette) leads an article with "The corrupt and discredited Chief Economist of the NAR, David Lereah, said today...."

Going from the sublime to the ridiculous, this week, in response to the first national year-over-year decline in housing prices since 1995, David Lereah, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors said “We've been anticipating a price correction and now it's here. The price drop has stopped the bleeding for housing sales. We think the housing market has now hit bottom.''

First of all, when did Lereah ever predict a price decline? Isn’t he the same guy who constantly assured us that real estate prices would never fall? That all that would happen to prices is that they would rise more slowly.

Second, what makes him an economist? Is he really employed to give an honest assessment of the future prospects of the housing market and real estate prices? Lereah is no more an economist than Henry Blodget was an analyst. Despite their titles, both were hired to help salesmen move inventory. For Blodget it was internet stocks, and for Lereah it is houses. Realtors cannot convince as many people to over-pay for houses if their own economist forecasts prices to drop. Why this man still gets taken serious by the media is beyond me. Anything he says should either be printed in the classified section or as part of a legitimate display advertisement for realtors.

Finally, what the hell is he talking about? How can he say that the bleeding has stopped, when its barely just begun? It reminds me of the Monty Python skit where the Black Knight claims his severed limb is “just a flesh wound.” Does it seem feasible that the biggest real estate bubble in U.S. history would bottom out after a mere 1.7% price decline?

7 comments:

Anonymous said...

Fabulous!! I love it. I've been reading your blog for a while now and people have their heads so buried in the sand it's unbelievable. I live in South Australia, which is about a year behind the rest of Australia in terms of real estate. People here still warble on about "real estate never decreases in value" and I just roll my eyes and tell them to read your blog (these are doctors as I'm a nurse in a major hospital). Anyway, on a diferent note, I have a friend who is a very well known astrologer. I asked him what he thought was coming worldwide next year. I kid you not, he said "it's really scary. The planets are in the same alignment as they were for the great depression". It makes you wonder...

Anonymous said...

What makes him an economist?

Umm, how about the payroll deductions of 1.3 million blind followers?

Anonymous said...

anon 11:03:58

I liked your blog 'til you started mentioning astrology.

Anonymous said...

how can they lie soooo well?

Anonymous said...

"I liked your blog 'til you started mentioning astrology"

Keith didn't mention it! a welcome visitor from Australia did. Land of the Croc Guy, the gladiator and The Road Warrior..

Anonymous said...

Please visit this site and vote for "Housing Bust will lead to second depression in 2007"

http://www.twocrowds.com/popular.php

This is a social mood predictor site. Maybe if enough people vote for this one, we can get some attention.

Anonymous said...

Lereah has a Great future in politics!

Probably for Dems

Great hair and pathetic!