October 01, 2006

OK, I've had enough.


[Note to HP'ers - I wanted Lereah pied (pie in the face), because a good pieing (if that's a word) really sends a message to the world. And if done right, like with some realllly soft whippped cream, it's no physical harm, which I'm against. It's a message.

But, alas, some PC HP'ers thought a pie was too much, so I retract out of respect to the community. So any new ideas on how to discredit this guy, more than just words? It's time for some act of rebellion - ideas please]

Here's the latest bizarre, maddening, corrupt and confused musings from the #1 REIC liar. Memo to MSM: WHY DO YOU ALLOW THIS CONFIRMED LIAR TO POLLUTE YOUR PUBLICATIONS? CALL A SPADE A SPADE - THIS MAN IS A HACK, A LIAR AND A FRAUD.

Thanks Twist for the link... nice work over at
housingdoom..

A Welcomed Correction

The real estate market is off in formerly red-hot cities such as Phoenix, where sales have cooled 31 percent from the second quarter of last year, and Miami, where they’ve cooled 23 percent.

Time on market in Phoenix is now 53 days, more than double what it was a year ago. Prices in many of those markets are still up, though, in some cases by double-digit percentages. But in the not-too-distant future, they should start falling—and that’s not a bad thing.

Certainly no one wants to see price adjustments dipping into negative territory—as they already are for condos in many markets that were seeing boom times a year ago—but we need cooling prices today to give buyers a chance to get back into the market.

Unlike previous housing slowdowns, which have come on the heels of broader economic weakness accompanied by job losses and rising interest rates, today’s slowdown comes amid an economy that continues to chug along at a respectable pace.

The GDP stood at around 2.5 percent in the second quarter of this year. Continuing solid spending by consumers and businesses, steady government spending, a recovering stock market, and strong corporate profits are behind the steady growth. Not surprisingly in such an environment, many metro areas are creating jobs, not shedding them.

In Los Angeles, for example, more than 60,000 jobs were created over the past 12 months, even though the time that homes spent on the market there jumped from 34 to 54 days. In Dallas some 90,000 jobs have been added and time on market has dipped, from 67 to 65 days.

And in any case, sales remain on a growth curve in a good one-third of the country, largely in areas that didn’t fully participate in the boom of the past five years. In Boise, Idaho, time on market has dropped from 57 to 43 days over the past 12 months, and in Salt Lake City, sales have been strong and price appreciation has more than doubled.

The explanation for this seeming anomaly lies as much in the psychology of buyers as in their pocketbooks. This is a slowdown caused by high home prices and wavering confidence. Sales aren’t cooling because there are no buyers in the market; they’re cooling because buyers are waiting for prices to ease. I’m confident that once prices ease, investors and households will be back.

17 comments:

Roccman said...

No Keith - stay where U are - with the signing of the Military Commission Act by Bush next week - there is nothing here to see...move along now move along.

God Bless Amerika

Anonymous said...

Keith, You have always had the high road with the RE Bubble Issue. Reality and Fact are on your side. Anyone with half a brain knows this guy is a real life Joe Isuzu, his BS is just plain ridiculous. Don’t let it get to you by posting stuff like this pie offer. Don’t give the establishment, MSM or anyone else reason to discredit your good work thus far..

Anonymous said...

i'm with fence sitter: take the shills for what they're worth and realize that they're just trying to keep the proverbial bread buttered.

we're all corrupt when it comes to our self-interest; it's human nature, after all. we're all reptilians vying for the big bite at the rotting carcass. none of us is above trying to sneak a few extra chomps at the rotting pile of meat, sinew, and bones. and some of us don't like to wait before the carcass is dead to sink our teeth.

lereah and his ilk are just trying to outrun the fangs and claws inching closer to their sorry throats.

i admit, i'll gloat over the stink and rot of lereah and his kind when the bubble is bursting.

btw, the US$ is set to break out of a bullish head-and-shoulders patter, heading for ~105, which is bearish for stocks, corporates, real estate, and commodities. get ready for an equity market blood bath and sinking treasury yields (and rising treasury prices). and, no, it ain't gonna end in oct. prepare for a 2- to 3-year GLOBAL equity and real estate bear market.

Anonymous said...

Oh great, now you are a terrorist.

Anonymous said...

You know, I have seen enough malignment of my good name on this blog. Frankly, I am tired of you Chicken Little hecklers causing unease in the buying public. I'm not going to respond to your criticism here, but I am going to use this forum to speak to the buying public that sees through your precious "truth", and the obvious "reality" and "good financial sense" that you so cherish. So this is a message to my herd, I mean, my constituents.

Now, constituent, if you could just bend over on that new granite countertop, we can proceed with our usual arrangement. Let me just slip this in there and - ooh, yeah that's good. Lube? Ha ha, no I didn't bring any of that. Why ruin a good sodomizing? You need to feel this, baby. Ooh, yeah. You like that? No? Well, daddy likes it. So - (urg) - you have that 6% for me? Oh - oooh. That's good. Let me just roll that up and light up. What? Yeah, I've taken so many of these off of home"owners" like you that I just don't know what to do with all of them. I was having a bonfire with them a few months back, when I found that the aroma was just excellent. Hold still - ooh, yeah. So I've been lighting these babies up ever since. The ink in these crispy Benjamins just has the best essence don't you think? Hey stop squirming so much - ooh - yeah. So that ARM reset huh (urg)? Yeah daddy likes that too. What's good for the bank is good for daddy - ooh - yeah, you like that don't you. So I think you're being a little unreasonable about that asking price, don't you? Ahhhhhhhhhh - oooh. Yeah I heard the builder up the street is asking 20% less than you for the same tract home - OOOOooo - and is throwing in a (oof) beamer too. So it looks like - QUICK TURN AROUND SO I CAN SHOOT THIS IN YOUR FACE! - it looks like - OHHHHHHH! YEEEEAAAAAAAH! - it's time for a "correction" - AAAAGGGHHHH...oooooooh - ohhhhhhhhhh. Whew, that was great huh! What? What do you mean? No, that's exactly what I've been saying all along! I've been awaiting this correction just as long as I can remember. Remember that book I wrote? Remember? "Why the real estate boom will not bust. Until it does." What? No, that's the title, it's right there on the cover. Well, the "until it does" is just a subtitle, so it's littler. It's perfectly legible under a high-magnification optical microscope.

Look. There's these guys outside that want their turn with your cornhole. They say they are renters. Now most guy's cocks are quite a bit larger than mine, but I tell you these guys are some of the biggest studs of man-meat I've seen. I'd like to just suck one of those fellows off, I tell you. They've apparently been holding their loads for some time waiting until you're good and ready to have about 50% reamed out of that keister of yours. I suggest you let them have their way with you before their cocks get even larger. No? You don't want to sell for 50% off? Well that's fine, as long as you keep sending that $4k to the bank for the next 29 years. Whoops, I mean $6k, forgot about that ARM. Yeah, I'm sure that payment will come back down any time now. Heh heh. So look, I'm just going to take this pile of smokes and be on my way, and I'm going to be taking that new H2 of yours while I'm at it, because I work for the bank, and well, we own it. Have a good one! And remember, don't miss that real estate boom!

David Lereah
President, NAR
Filthy, filthy liar

Anonymous said...

I've notified INTERPOL and the FBI about your sick plan to attack an innocent man. You are obviously a deranged individual. Expect to be on the no-fly list very soon.

A. Realtor

Anonymous said...

A pie in the face is an act of violence, Keith. You shouldn't be calling for that.

Everything else you've said about Lereah is right on the money.

I'm infuriated that he's out there acting like he predicted this YOY decline. That's like writing all season that USC is going to beat Texas, then "predicting" that Texas will win as the clock winds down in the last 10 seconds. There's a big difference between predicting and acknowledging, but Lereah doesn't seem to understand it.

Anonymous said...

There's no way that the time-on-market is anything like 60 days. The time on market (TOM) includes the closing time. Ours was a 45 day escrow. The house remained listed as "taking backup offers" on the MLS for the whole escrow time. The TOM showed the total time on the MLS.
There have been a lot of homes here in the OC that have been on the market all summer (and all year, so far) without buyers.
Houses are going off the market without ever selling.
My off-the-cuff guess for time on market (here) would be 90 to 110 days, mot including closing. That's just the time to find a buyer.

Anonymous said...

There's no way that the time-on-market is anything like 60 days. The time on market (TOM) includes the closing time. Ours was a 45 day escrow. The house remained listed as "taking backup offers" on the MLS for the whole escrow time. The TOM showed the total time on the MLS.
There have been a lot of homes here in the OC that have been on the market all summer (and all year, so far) without buyers.
Houses are going off the market without ever selling.
My off-the-cuff guess for time on market (here) would be 90 to 110 days, mot including closing. That's just the time to find a buyer.

blogger said...

ok, ok, I'll retract the offer to pie the guy.

you can pie nicely. I've seen it done. it can be really funny!

Anonymous said...

"There's no way that the time-on-market is anything like 60 days."

The figure is probably about right but it may not be what you think it is. These effects skew the figure:

1) Relisting is excluded in such stats.
2) As many (or more, like in OC) listings are expiring/getting cancelled as are selling.

blogger said...

how about silly-stringing the guy? is that "assault"

it's silly string folks!

Roccman said...

"does the patriot act cover pie throwing too?
viva la al-pieda !"

If you saw V you may remember the "benny hill" skit with Ditrich.

Ditrich was black bagged.

So yes - you would be identified as a "combatant" under the new Military Commisions Act.

Roccman said...

And this blog would also be defined as "materially and purposefully" aiding terrorist activities.

Anonymous said...

A pie in the face? That's just GAY! Keith either you play for the other team or you should be playing for the other team. lol

blogger said...

so every comedian is gay? I think not

man, if you don't think a good pie in the face routine is funny, you're on a different planet than I am. I crack up big time everytime I see that one

I'm laughing even thinking about it

Anonymous said...

I wanna get one of those for borkafatty, that say's This is to certify borkafattys full o s**t!