September 02, 2006

MSM reading HP? Calling David Lereah and NAR liars, and reporting that price numbers are bogus due to incentives


It really is nice to see reports in the media now on the issues we've been raising for months and months. The corrupt NAR, the median price BS, the option-ARM mortgage timebomb, the consumer meltdown. I do think some of 'em are getting it from the bloggers, but imitation is flattery, eh?

Here's a good write-up in Fool:


On housing front, it's beginning to get ugly- Builders send danger signals; concessions may mask real price drops

I'm sure others have noticed, as I have, the increasingly desperate pleas from the housing-bubble cheerleaders, especially National Association of Realtors Chief Economist David Lereah.

A longtime bubble denier — who, I think, is more interested in protecting his constituency of six-percenters than in offering realistic housing-market commentary — Lereah began asking the Fed to protect his bubble a couple months back. At the same time, he and his associates have tried to spin the situation with the news media, who, hungry for soundbites, are usually all too happy to parrot headlines such as "Existing-home sales down with softening prices."

It turns out that the anecdotal evidence for falling prices may be exactly right, because a large number of housing sale prices may be based on fudged numbers.

That's right, the last leg of Greenspan's bubble may be collapsing under the weight of farcical accounting — trickery that would get you tossed in jail if you tried it at an American corporation.

Many economists and commentators have begun to point out that housing prices are inflated to an unknown degree by seller concessions: rebates on closing costs, swimming pools, new kitchen countertops, luxury trips once a year for life and other goodies detailed in a recent New York Times article. These and other expensive sweeteners are now par for the course as desperate sellers try anything to move their houses.

The problem is that these real costs don't appear in the selling price, thus distorting reality and effectively continuing the pleasant myth that Americans have become comfortable embracing: House prices don't drop. Unfortunately, they do.

9 comments:

Anonymous said...

Keith,

Time for a countdown to Pitchforks and Torches Blog!

ocrenter said...

I think you're right Keith, the author has been reading the blogs. kudos to him! another great article in MSM just after the businessweek one. they just keep coming and coming.

Anonymous said...

oh man the country will want to kill david lereah, he'll be like a leper after this one is over, seeking asylum

Bakersfield Bubble said...

Other housing blogs worth a look include HouseBubble.com (www.housebubble.com), which posts links to key housing stories daily, and Housing Panic -- The Bubble Blog with Attitude (housingpanic.blogspot.com), hosted by a "former homeowner" and "expat," or expatriate. As promised, attitude abounds -- about housing, politics, the Middle East and more -- along with comments from readers. There's some intelligent discussion here, but this blog is not for readers easily offended.
______________________________


I was told this is on page 30 of this weekends Barron. Can anyone confirm?

Congrats if it is!



crispy&cole

InfidelSix said...

Now if all the talking heads on the business (news) shows whould stop saying (lying) "sales are down but prices aren't" and give an accurate depiction of the market. Either they're crappy analysts who don't do their homework, or they're industry lackeys.

Anonymous said...

you posters who criticize other posters try using you name instead of hiding behind anonymous like sorry little pussies.

and posting on a blog about your alleged wealth is easy to do. hey i have $10 million in assets. i'm richer than all of you idiots.

see how easy that was?

Anonymous said...

Trump apprentice babes... advises buy house now... and other Realtors and homebuilders... saying

"it`s BUYER`s Market now"

It is not BUYERS` MARKET until we saw 20-30% price reduction in home prices !!!

Don`t believe the hype now... home pprices is going to plunge more and you don`t want to have an UPSIDE DOWN MORTGAGE don`t you ?????

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