February 10, 2006

Hilarious spin from a Vegas realtor - "The true experts are bullish for '06" although the market is in full meltdown mode


Thanks LLV for the link. Will these people say anything to the media to try to save their ass?

The median price of a single-family home dropped by $2,500 in January from the previous month, the Greater Las Vegas Association of Realtors reported.

The $310,000 median is down 0.8 percent from December, though it still reflects an 8.8 percent increase from January 2005. The average price of $382,518 is up 16.4 percent from a year ago.

Home sales dropped to 1,778 in January, down 27 percent from December and 10.4 percent from a year ago. The number of homes available for sale on the Multiple Listing Service grew 23.3 percent to 16,493.

Linda Rheinberger, president of the Greater Las Vegas Realtors Association, said December was an unusually active month for sales and people may have "flopped months."

"They're just all over Nevada and Las Vegas about how strong our market is," she said. "The true experts are bullish for '06. So we're not going to play into somebody's hands that they want to make a trend of one month when we're so strong."

She said David Lereah, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors, told her to look for an investment property for him in Las Vegas.

For condominiums and townhomes, the median sales price in January was $196,299, down 3.8 percent from December, but up 9.1 percent from one year ago. The number of attached units sold in January was down 22.5 percent and the number listed for sale increased by 47.7 percent.

10 comments:

ocrenter said...

keith, I hope you are saving these articles for re-publishing for late 2006 and beyond.

Anonymous said...

A couple of points:

I believe about 60% of the country is in a housing bubble.
I believe many communities will see blood on the floor.

With that said; Las Vegas is unlikely to be one of them, and for several reasons. Migration is increasing, not slowing, incomes are rising faster there than anywhere else, and despite many popular beliefs, they’re running out of land. Anyone the reads Prof. Shiller’s section on real estate should understand this.

One other point; I live in CA and I have no beef … I just call it as I see it. Phoenix is likely to get hammered, LV is not.

Anonymous said...

I hear the usual rehtoric about no land and this mad surplus of jobs in Las Vegas, coming from relatives and friends that still live there. Even with that, those jobs are low paying service casinos slave jobs. And you'll run out of water before you'll run out of land.

Also, what's gonna happen to Vegas if California gets hammered? Vegas lives in an economic ecosystem that is tied to California. If house prices drop and suddenly become more affordable in LA and San Diego, Vegas must follow. Vegas house prices doubled in 2004 after the locusts of investors came from LA and San Diego.

This is the typical mentality of a Las Vegan. They believe they live in some isolated economic utopia that hoards of people from California and the midwest are desperately trying to break into. "But we have so many jobs and not enough land." But they can't find teachers, etc because people who make their living outside of casinos don't want to go there anymore.

Anyways, check out this article about prices in '06. These "experts" aren't so bullish.
http://money.cnn.com/2006/02/03/real_estate/house_price_predictions_for_2006/

Also, net migration to Las Vegas is not growing, it's slowed 33% from 2004-2005:
http://www.reviewjournal.com/lvrj_home/2006/Jan-28-Sat-2006/news/5584923.html
(Warning: RJ spins facts)

Anonymous said...

She said David Lereah, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors, told her to look for an investment property for him in Las Vegas.

Right! Sure he did! This gave me a great belly laugh. Last time I was in Las Vegas I could see desert land stretching for miles and miles...

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