November 14, 2005

Time to Move On?


Good article about the smartest thing to do - SELL AT THE TOP AND RENT! However, it may be too late, we're definitely post-peak, and we're hearing it's tough to get buyers now... I'd still recommend selling - at any price. Nothing is going to be more painful for the next few years than "I wish we had_____" thoughts, as well as going to sleep and waking up in your worst investment decision. At least with a bad stock pick, you can just turn off the computer...

For the past few years, the run-up in home prices has been the hot topic at neighborhood gatherings. Now the discussion is dominated by another question: When will the ride end -- especially with Hurricanes Katrina and Rita casting a shadow on the economy? Rather than wait for price appreciation to slow, many homeowners have decided to cash in their profits and move on.

2 comments:

Out at the peak said...

I was able to get my cubical neighbor and myself out at the peak. We are now renting for cheaper.

I moved to a better neighborhood, closer to work and have roughly the same sqft for $700 less.

My neighbor sold to an investor and renting back from him. He is saving $600 a month.

These savings are based on 2003 refi mortgages too! So the new owners are paying a lot more into their places.

Between the two of us, we pocketed $300K.

blogger said...

beats working, eh?

I LOVE STORIES LIKE THAT! Especially the tax-free part of the gain. It almost seems illegal.

But the world isn't so nice that it lets everyone get rich. It's a zero sum game. So who will lose?

1) homeowners and investors who don't sell and ride this sucker down

2) the government (which is us) who is about to suffer a meltdown in receipts

3) the world economy

4) shareholders

5) bondholders

My recommendation - walk away. Sell your house, put the proceeds in a 4% FDIC insured savings account (or accounts - $100k max per account) and walk away. Don't even read stock tables, don't be tempted to invest in anything for 2 to 4 years.

Then - when the blood is in the streets, everyone HATES housing, go buy.

Cheers